Fort Fairfield's goal numbers say this team should be winning more than its record shows. The Class D side sits at 3 wins and 2 losses, but the goals it has scored and allowed point to a team playing closer to the front of the pack than the standings suggest.
The measure here is the Pythagorean win rate, which builds an expected winning percentage out of goals for and against. For Fort Fairfield that figure lands near 95 percent, well above the roughly 60 percent the record reflects. The gap works out to about two wins Fort Fairfield could reasonably have banked already.
GameIQ, which rates teams by the strength of what they have actually done, has Fort Fairfield higher than its place in the standings, with a Power Index Rating of 97.1. When a team's goal margin outruns its record like this, it usually means a couple of close results broke the wrong way rather than any real weakness underneath.
The plain reading is that the wins tend to follow the goal difference over time. If Fort Fairfield keeps scoring and defending the way it has, the record should start to catch up to the numbers.
